First Russia intervened in South Ossetia. Then Russian military forces advanced into Georgia proper, taking control of military bases and the Poti seaport. Most recently, Russian president Dmitry Medvedev recognized the independence of Georgia’s two breakaway provinces, South Ossetia and Abkhazia. And the Russians may not be finished.

Possible Annexation

Russia’s recent actions in Georgia and its two disputed provinces could lead to an outright annexation of South Ossetia and Abkhazia by the Kremlin. Moscow has already taken steps to reinforce its position in the two disputed regions, and there is ongoing talk of deepening diplomatic and military ties between Russia and the breakaway provinces.

Both South Ossetia and Abkhazia have sought either complete independence from Georgia or inclusion in Russia since shortly after the breakup of the former Soviet Union. Formal ties between Moscow and the two provinces, backed by Russian military force, could lead to the latter scenario unfolding in the not-too-distant future.

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